571 Advanced Physical Climatology

Outline for Autumn 2017: With some starter references.

1. Radiative-Convective Equilibrium

Hot Topic: Climate Sensitivity: Kernels and PRP method

Reading List:

Manabe, S., and R. T. Wetherald, 1967: Thermal equilibrium of the atmosphere with a given distribution of relative humidity. J. Atmos. Sci., 24, 241-259.

Emanuel, K., A. A. Wing, and E. M. Vincent, 2014: Radiative-convective instability. J. Adv. Mod. Earth Sys., 6, 75-90.

Soden, B. J., I. M. Held, R. Colman, K. M. Shell, J. T. Kiehl, and C. A. Shields, 2008: Quantifying climate feedbacks using radiative kernels. J. Climate, 21, 3504-3520.

2. Surface Processes

Hot Topic: Life on Land and Climate, Carbon and Moisture

Seneviratne, S. I., and Coauthors, 2010: Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 99, 125-161.

3. General Circulation of the Atmosphere – and climate

Hot Topic: Hadley Expansion and Jet Shifts

Ceppi, P., and D. L. Hartmann, 2016: Clouds and the Atmospheric Circulation Response to Warming. J.Climate, 29, 783-799.

4. General Circulation of Ocean - and its role in climate change

Hot Topic: The Hiatus, forcing, sensitivity and heat uptake.

Kosaka, Y., and S. P. Xie, 2013: Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling. Nature, 501, doi 10.1038/nature12534.

Kohyama, T., and D. L. Hartmann, 2017: Nonlinear ENSO Warming Suppression (NEWS). J. Climate, 30, 4227-4251.

5. Natural Modes of Variability – and their response to climate

Hot Topic: Storms, Droughts, Floods and Warming

Seager, R., and Coauthors, 2007: Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science, 316, 1181-1184.

Hirabayashi, Y., and Coauthors, 2013: Global flood risk under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3, 816-821.

6. More Hot topics in Climate Change Research

a.) Low Cloud Feedback

Sherwood, S. C., S. Bony, and J. L. Dufresne, 2014: Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing. Nature, 505, 37-+.

McCoy, D. T., R. Eastman, D. L. Hartmann, and R. Wood, 2017: The Change in Low Cloud Cover in a Warmed Climate Inferred from AIRS, MODIS, and ERA-Interim. J. Climate, 30, 3609-3620.

b.) The indirect effect of aerosols

McCoy, D. T., F. A. M. Bender, J. K. C. Mohrmann, D. L. Hartmann, R. Wood, and D. P. Grosvenor, 2017: The global aerosol-cloud first indirect effect estimated using MODIS, MERRA, and AeroCom. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 122, 1779-1796.

c.) The forcing vs feedback paradigm, can it survive?

Sherwood, S. C., S. Bony, O. Boucher, C. Bretherton, P. M. Forster, J. M. Gregory, and B. Stevens, 2015: ADJUSTMENTS IN THE FORCING-FEEDBACK FRAMEWORK FOR UNDERSTANDING CLIMATE CHANGE. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 96, 217-228.

d.) The great debates – IRIS

Bony, S., B. Stevens, D. Coppin, T. Becker, K. Reed, A. Voigt, and B. Medeiros, 2016: Thermodynamic control of anvil-cloud amount. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 113, 8927-8932.

e.) Carbon cycle feedbacks

Ciais, P., and Coauthors, 2013: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles. The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change T. F. Stocker, and Coauthors, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 465-570.