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Notes for the lecture on Monday December 10
Global warming policy issues
Global warming is a tough policy issue to deal with.  Is is clear that CO2 levels in the atmosphere are increasing due to the use of fossil fuels.  CO2 levels will continue to increase as we continue to burn fossil fuels.  Even in the optimistic case that we take action now, CO2 levels might reach twice its pre-industrial levels (2 x 280 ppmv = 560 ppmv) by the end of this century.  This will most likely have a large impact on climate. 

Should we take action now? Some of the reasons that make this a difficult decision are briefly outlined below:

  • high cost of addressing the problem: we are highly dependent on fossil fuels as a source of energy
  • the consequences are seen to be far into the future (100 years from now)
  • scientists can't predict with absolute certainty how serious the impact on climate and human society will be.
  • polluters and victims are removed in space: the victims of global warming will most likely be citizens of poor, fast growing, developing countries located in the Tropics and Subtropics.  These countries are more sensitive to changes in climate and are more vulnerable because of their low capacity for adaptation.  Take the example of the Maldives Islands in the Indian Oceans that we saw in the NOVA video.  Rising sea levels could be a huge problem for the people living there in the future. Not having the economic resources to build dikes, they will be forced to move. The polluters are the richer nations at high latitudes. Some of these nations might even benefit from global warming (Canada might get warmer).
Are there solutions?
There are now satisfactory solutions at this point, but a number of policy responses to the global warming issue could help slow down the build up of CO2 in the atmosphere.
  • conservation of energy; 
  • increase in energy efficiency; 
  • slow down tropical deforestation;
  • switches to alternative energies (non-CO2 generating) such as nuclear (but: problem with disposal of wastes), wind power, solar energy (both of these energy sources require large areas); biomass-based power (from fast-growing plants); tidal power; geothermal power...
Changes in energy policies such as incentives for efficiency and conservation; subsidies to industries could help implement the above solutions. One could envision future technologies such as orbiting solar-power satellites.  This is currently too expensive but might be a potential solution in the future.

Other, so-called "geo-engineering" solutions are much more controversial because they are generally very expensive and could have a number of unintended side-effects.  Some of the more sound geo-engineering solutions currently under investigation include: seeding the ocean with iron to stimulate the biological pump taking up CO2 from the atmosphere;  direct injection of CO2 in the deep oceans; sequester CO2 in ocean trenches, used oil wells where it could be converted to carbonate sediments by algae. 
 

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 Last Updated:
12/10/2001

Contact the instructor at: jaegle@atmos.washington.edu